North Daviess
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #162
Brown County Semi-State Rank #38
Pike Central Regional Rank #10
South Knox Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Chad Smith Sullivan Invitational Washington Invitational South Knox Invitational Shakamak Invitational SWIAC South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,235 1,347 1,309 1,250 1,241 1,217 1,198 1,169 1,272
Team Adjusted Rating 1,347 1,309 1,250 1,241 1,217 1,198 1,169 1,272
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Chad Smith Sullivan Invitational Washington Invitational South Knox Invitational Shakamak Invitational SWIAC South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
921  Morgan Myers 9 22:24 22:24 22:27 21:56 22:25 22:49 22:07 22:15 22:50
1,196  Abigail Giesler 9 23:03 23:52 23:44 23:03 23:07 22:52 22:50 22:54 22:54
1,322  Lilly Vandermel 11 23:19 24:11 23:22 23:31 23:06 23:12 23:24 23:11 23:10
Emily Remsburg 11 23:42 24:58 25:03 25:11 23:40 23:14 23:26 23:18 24:12
Sarah Lyons 12 23:53 23:25 23:45 23:57 24:20 23:57 24:01 23:40 24:01
Alandra Brinegar 10 24:43 25:30 24:37 24:23 25:41 24:30 24:41 24:23 24:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.8 508 1.0 15.1 84.0
Regionals 100% 8.4 183 0.3 4.1 9.8 13.0 17.6 25.9 29.4
Sectionals 100% 4.3 106 0.9 8.5 51.8 38.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Myers 100% 118.0 12.7%
Abigail Giesler 100% 134.8 0.0%
Lilly Vandermel 100% 141.3 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Myers 100% 29.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 2.7 5.0 100.0%
Abigail Giesler 100% 38.7 100.0%
Lilly Vandermel 100% 44.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Myers 10.9 0.9 3.7 16.2 33.5 21.4 12.4 6.5 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Abigail Giesler 16.3 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.3 8.9 12.5 15.4 13.5 10.4 8.7 5.8 5.3 3.9 2.3 1.8 0.8
Lilly Vandermel 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.6 8.4 10.0 9.9 10.4 10.0 8.3 7.6 5.5 4.6